2026 Senate Model

Based on 11 polls

• Gladson CamelíPP27.4%79%
• Marcio BittarPL24.5%68%
• 2 seats
• Jorge VianaPT15.4%21%
• Mara RochaREPUBLICANOS12.9%16%
• PetecãoPSD9.0%8%
• Eduardo VellosoSOLIDARIEDADE7.0%5%
• Others3.9%3%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 16 polls

• Arthur LiraPP29.1%75%
• Marina JHCPSDB26.2%62%
• 2 seats
• RenanMDB24.8%53%
• Dr. WanderleyMDB10.4%5%
• Davi Davino FilhoREPUBLICANOS7.6%4%
• Others1.9%<1%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 6 polls

• Eduardo BragaMDB41.2%97%
• Wilson LimaUNIÃO19.9%44%
• 2 seats
• Capitão Alberto NetoPL19.7%36%
• Plinio ValérioPSDB15.1%20%
• Others4.2%3%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 9 polls

• Rayssa FurlanPODEMOS22.9%56%
• RandolfePT21.1%52%
• 2 seats
• Lucas BarretoPSD18.2%37%
• Alliny SerrãoUNIÃO17.8%36%
• Acácio FavachoMDB10.7%12%
• CapiPSB5.2%4%
• Others4.0%4%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 15 polls

• Rui CostaPT29.0%77%
• Jaques WagnerPT25.3%60%
• 2 seats
• João RomaPL19.4%30%
• Angelo CoronelREPUBLICANOS19.2%29%
• Others7.2%3%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 15 polls

• Cid GomesPSB31.8%83%
• LuizianneREDE26.9%66%
• 2 seats
• Capitão WagnerUNIÃO22.0%35%
• Alcides FernandesPL15.9%15%
• Others3.4%<1%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 13 polls

• Michelle BolsonaroPL31.7%86%
• Bia KicisPL21.4%48%
• 2 seats
• Leila do VôleiPDT19.6%37%
• Erika KokayPT15.8%20%
• Others11.5%8%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 9 polls

• Renato CasagrandePSB32.5%89%
• Rose de FreitasMDB13.6%32%
• 2 seats
• Fabiano ContaratoPT11.2%19%
• Evair de MeloREPUBLICANOS9.8%16%
• Maguinha MaltaPL9.9%15%
• Marcos do ValAVANTE6.4%9%
• Sergio MeneguelliPSD6.9%8%
• Rodney MirandaPRTB3.9%5%
• Others5.7%6%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 18 polls

• Gustavo GayerPL19.9%56%
• Gracinha CaiadoUNIÃO19.1%51%
• 2 seats
• Dr. Zacharias CalilMDB14.8%29%
• Gustavo MendanhaPRD11.2%19%
• Vanderlan CardosoPSD9.9%14%
• Isaura LemosPSB6.3%8%
• Oséias VarãoPL5.3%7%
• Cintia DiasPSOL5.5%6%
• Others7.9%11%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 12 polls

• Roseana SarneyMDB24.2%73%
• Weverton RochaPDT17.8%43%
• 2 seats
• FufucaPP16.9%31%
• Eliziane GamaPT12.4%18%
• Lahesio BonfimNOVO10.5%13%
• Dr. Hilton GonçaloMOBILIZA6.7%12%
• Cidônio GonçalvesPL4.5%4%
• Enilton RodriguesPSOL3.1%3%
• Others3.8%2%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 10 polls

• Marília CamposPT21.1%64%
• Domingos SávioPL16.3%40%
• 2 seats
• Aécio NevesPSDB14.8%27%
• Carlos VianaPSD14.5%26%
• Marcelo AroPP11.6%19%
• Áurea CarolinaPSOL8.7%12%
• Carlin MouraAVANTE4.1%6%
• Others8.9%6%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 13 polls

• Reinaldo AzambujaPL36.0%93%
• Capitão ContarPL29.3%80%
• 2 seats
• SorayaPSB13.3%12%
• Vander LoubetPT12.4%11%
• Others8.9%4%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 12 polls

• Mauro MendesUNIÃO29.2%85%
• Janaina RivaMDB17.6%34%
• 2 seats
• Pedro TaquesPSB14.4%28%
• Jose MedeirosPL14.6%26%
• FávaroPSD11.3%15%
• Margareth BuzettiPP5.5%5%
• Others7.3%7%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 13 polls

• HelderMDB34.9%92%
• ChicãoUNIÃO20.3%53%
• 2 seats
• Delegado Éder MauroPL14.2%19%
• Zequinha MarinhoPODEMOS13.6%19%
• Celso SabinoPDT9.5%11%
• Others7.5%7%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 7 polls

• Joao AzevêdoPSB41.0%98%
• NaborREPUBLICANOS23.8%63%
• 2 seats
• VenezianoMDB20.0%31%
• Others15.4%8%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 24 polls

• Marília ArraesPDT27.2%79%
• Humberto CostaPT24.3%67%
• 2 seats
• Eduardo da FontePP16.2%26%
• Mendonça FilhoPL12.7%14%
• Túlio GadêlhaPSD11.2%9%
• Others8.5%5%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 11 polls

• Marcelo CastroMDB27.3%78%
• Julio CesarPSD24.7%66%
• 2 seats
• Ciro NogueiraPP20.2%39%
• Tiago JunqueiraPL7.7%5%
• Others20.2%13%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 24 polls

• Alexandre CuriREPUBLICANOS20.8%54%
• Deltan DallagnolNOVO20.2%48%
• 2 seats
• GleisiPT17.4%33%
• Filipe BarrosPL16.6%32%
• Cristina Reis GraemlPSD13.7%23%
• Dr RosinhaPT8.9%8%
• Others2.4%2%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 14 polls

• Benedita da SilvaPT24.7%77%
• Pedro PauloPSD17.1%44%
• 2 seats
• Carlos JordyPL13.2%22%
• Marcelo CrivellaREPUBLICANOS13.1%21%
• Carlos PortinhoPL10.3%14%
• WaguinhoREPUBLICANOS6.7%7%
• Monica BenicioPSOL6.6%6%
• Others8.2%8%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 33 polls

• Zenaide MaiaPSD25.8%74%
• Styvenson ValentimPODEMOS23.8%71%
• 2 seats
• Rafael MottaPDT13.0%17%
• Samanda de LulaPT12.5%16%
• Coronel HélioPL9.1%10%
• Tércio TinôcoUNIÃO7.3%5%
• Others8.7%7%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 5 polls

• Dr. Fernando MáximoPL22.7%60%
• Sílvia CristinaPP21.3%53%
• 2 seats
• Mariana CarvalhoREPUBLICANOS17.6%36%
• Bruno Bolsonaro ScheidPL15.3%27%
• Acir GurgaczPDT11.2%14%
• Luis FernandoPSD3.8%4%
• Others8.1%6%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 6 polls

• Helena da AsaturPSD21.7%63%
• NicolettiPL18.6%42%
• 2 seats
• Teresa SuritaMDB18.1%39%
• Chico RodriguesPSB13.5%22%
• Helio BolsonaroPL8.8%11%
• Pastor IsamarUNIÃO8.1%9%
• Márcio JunqueiraPSDB3.4%5%
• Others7.9%9%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 10 polls

• Marcel van HattemNOVO22.9%64%
• SandersonPL18.7%43%
• 2 seats
• Manuela D ÁvilaPSOL17.9%37%
• PimentaPT15.6%28%
• RigottoMDB14.6%22%
• Frederico AntunesPSD5.5%5%
• Others5.0%2%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 9 polls

• Carol de ToniPL26.4%76%
• Carlos BolsonaroPL22.2%56%
• 2 seats
• Esperidião AminPP20.4%44%
• Décio LimaPT10.9%12%
• Afrânio BoppréPSOL7.5%5%
• LunelliMDB7.4%4%
• Others5.2%2%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 15 polls

• Rogerio CarvalhoPT19.1%58%
• André MouraUNIÃO17.0%48%
• 2 seats
• Delegado André DavidREPUBLICANOS12.7%21%
• Delegado AlessandroMDB11.8%20%
• Eduardo AmorimREPUBLICANOS10.4%16%
• EdvaldoPDT9.2%12%
• Rodrigo ValadaresPL8.8%12%
• Iran BarbosaPSOL3.5%4%
• Others7.6%10%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 19 polls

• Guilherme DerritePP22.3%58%
• André do PradoPL20.6%50%
• 2 seats
• Simone TebetPSB19.6%43%
• Marina SilvaREDE18.7%38%
• SallesNOVO8.2%6%
• Others10.5%5%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.

Based on 17 polls

• Eduardo GomesPL20.6%58%
• Alexandre GuimarãesMDB19.1%54%
• 2 seats
• GaguimUNIÃO14.7%29%
• Eli BorgesREPUBLICANOS11.0%15%
• Paulo MourãoPT10.6%15%
• Ronaldo DimasPODEMOS10.1%14%
• Vanderlei LuxemburgoPODEMOS8.0%9%
• Others6.0%7%

Confidence interval: 80%. Percentages as published on the TSE's basis, as a share of valid votes: each voter picks two names so the candidacies add up to 100%. For example, someone shown at 25% is named by about half the electorate.